Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 187.146813 216.220432 249.284014 289.868934 338.615331 395.618496 467.817028
2025-09-21 146.330632 182.709937 228.170367 289.903018 372.711935 481.643532 638.638310
2025-09-28 124.302005 163.634645 216.092934 292.632432 403.957301 564.037709 819.389780
2025-10-05 114.329957 157.338670 217.958614 312.091208 459.205066 688.635967 1091.288406
2025-10-12 105.697163 150.973556 217.845246 327.417315 509.845215 815.952782 1402.999210
2025-10-19 94.988489 139.763312 208.427016 325.980218 532.261094 900.564208 1663.624407
2025-10-26 88.597749 134.116827 206.498652 335.849131 575.005876 1029.720035 2050.514210
2025-11-02 82.329441 127.772726 202.384410 340.936563 609.555137 1150.877066 2462.166740
2025-11-09 77.128134 122.490058 199.218908 346.944225 646.619373 1285.633067 2955.288894
2025-11-16 71.567485 115.943886 192.972662 346.056457 669.373292 1394.943016 3428.294835
2025-11-23 66.650865 109.974477 186.996461 344.670483 690.610080 1505.955719 3953.319392
2025-11-30 62.817558 105.520660 183.243353 347.092969 720.571492 1645.841444 4628.748710
2025-12-07 56.621383 96.654875 171.080790 332.235901 712.725961 1700.368662 5109.227580
2025-12-14 52.736375 91.741426 166.094892 332.311825 741.762443 1867.063650 6098.265446
2025-12-21 49.631912 87.948723 162.807272 335.527076 779.504475 2072.992990 7393.791214
2025-12-28 48.696083 88.219121 167.754521 358.469394 875.191979 2495.489345 9987.419946
2026-01-04 47.333085 87.474810 170.452384 376.572527 963.079762 2935.472882 13170.073697
2026-01-11 44.497729 83.439197 165.536188 374.873819 992.845356 3185.211916 15644.838719
2026-01-18 42.913498 81.834914 165.790837 386.544253 1067.315941 3643.834131 20047.195982
2026-01-25 41.059128 79.471409 164.029942 392.564871 1125.803982 4071.695981 24975.442023
2026-02-01 39.421628 77.416201 162.736471 399.678395 1190.591326 4567.373406 31427.663169
2026-02-08 37.425866 74.391063 158.794893 398.626948 1226.697178 4953.701090 37797.759955
2026-02-15 35.562079 71.499101 154.863103 396.985623 1260.668457 5354.314650 45366.092610